Blog · Mega Evolution & Modern Sets
Mew ex and Mewtwo ex in the 30th Celebration Set: Pull Rates and Which Products to Buy
By Dexhaul Team · August 31, 2026
Sixteen days out from the September 16 launch, two cards have more pull-rate conversation around them than anything else in the 30th Celebration expansion.
Mew ex and Mewtwo ex are both printed in the Futuristic Rare (FUR) rarity, the new top-tier card treatment introduced in this set. The question most collectors are actually asking is narrower: if I want one of these two cards specifically, which product gives me the best odds, and what should I expect to spend finding one? This article answers that, with the caveat that any number attached to a set that has not yet launched carries real uncertainty.
What Futuristic Rare Actually Is
FUR is a new rarity designation, introduced as part of the 30th Celebration expansion and its Japanese counterpart, the MEGA 30th Celebration set. It uses a chrome-forward visual finish distinct from the impressionistic painterly style of Special Illustration Rares, and it occupies the same tier in the pull structure: one high-rarity pull slot per pack hit, not a bonus insert.
That matters for the math. Every pack has one chance at a premium rare.
A FUR pull uses that slot, which means a Mew ex FUR and a Mewtwo ex FUR each compete against every other FUR card in the set for that slot. Hitting a FUR does not mean hitting one of those two specifically.
The 30th Celebration set contains multiple FUR cards across its roster. Understanding that the headline pair are specific targets within a larger FUR pool is the first piece of honest pull-rate context.
(Pre-Order) Pokemon 30th Celebration Ultra Premium Collection - Day
$479.95 USD
Mew ex: Why Collectors Are Watching This Card
Mew is Pokémon No. 151, the Mythical introduced in the original game as a hidden encounter and later confirmed as the genetic ancestor of all Pokémon. In the TCG, Mew has a long history as a high-demand chase card: the promo treatments from the early WotC era, the RC24/RC25 full art from the 25th Anniversary Celebrations subset, and the 205/165 Hyper Rare from Scarlet & Violet 151 all hold premiums years after release.
The FUR treatment in the 30th Celebration set brings Mew ex back with anniversary-specific artwork rather than a competitive-play framing. That positions it alongside other 30th Anniversary commemorative cards rather than in the standard meta-relevant category. The collectors most interested in this card are those building anniversary sets or completing Mew collections, not primarily competitive players.
The Day edition UPC uses Mew as its primary figure and packaging character. Pre-orders for the Day edition have shown sustained demand since listings opened, which is a reasonable proxy for how seriously the collector market is treating this card ahead of launch.
Mewtwo ex: The Counterpart
Mewtwo ex is the logical pair to Mew in this set. As the genetically engineered Pokémon created from Mew's DNA, Mewtwo occupies the Night edition UPC as its packaging character and figure subject, mirroring the Day/Night split in the product lineup.
In the TCG, Mewtwo has an equally strong collector history. The M Mewtwo EX cards from BREAKthrough (157/162, 158/162, 159/162, 160/162) remain some of the most consistently traded XY-era ultra rares.
The Mewtwo ex from Next Destinies was a format-dominant card in the Black & White era. Collectors who want the FUR version are largely anniversary set builders, not competitive deck builders, since the 30th Celebration set is not a Standard-legal product.
Hitting both the Mew ex FUR and the Mewtwo ex FUR from sealed product is the harder target. They are two separate cards from the same FUR pool. The odds compound: two independent FUR hits, each requiring the right specific card from however many FURs exist in the full set.
Reading the Pull-Rate Data
The Pokémon Company does not publish official pull rates for any product. The best available source is community pack-opening data from the Japanese MEGA 30th Celebration expansion. SNKRDUNK, the Japanese TCG marketplace that aggregates opening results from verified sales, has compiled FUR hit rates from early Japanese box openings.
The data places Futuristic Rare cards at roughly one hit per 10 to 15 packs on average. That range aligns with Special Illustration Rare hit rates from comparable recent Scarlet & Violet sets, which tracks with FUR occupying the same structural slot in the pull hierarchy.
Applied to the English ETB: 9 packs, a per-pack FUR hit rate somewhere in the 7 to 10 percent range, gives you a statistical expectation of 0.6 to 0.9 FUR hits per ETB. Most ETBs will contain zero or one. That is expected variance, not product underperformance.
The secondary filter matters. Dividing that FUR hit probability by the number of distinct FUR cards in the full English set gives the per-ETB probability of hitting specifically Mew ex or Mewtwo ex. Until the complete English FUR card list is confirmed, the honest range is: low to moderate per box, substantially improving with multiple boxes.
Product Math: Where the Per-Pack Cost Lands
The ETB at $179.95 for 9 packs includes accessories: sleeves, dice, damage counters, and a coin. If you value those at $30 to $40 in standalone cost, the effective per-pack cost runs around $15 to $16. That is a reasonable rate for the format.
The Booster Bundle at $84.95 provides 6 packs with no accessories. Per-pack cost: approximately $14.16.
It is the cheapest per-pack path in the English product lineup. If your only goal is pack count and you have no use for the deck accessories, the Booster Bundle is the most efficient way to buy 30th Celebration packs.
The UPC provides the highest pack count in a single product at a premium total price, plus a sculpted figure and premium unboxing experience. The Day edition at $479.95 and Night edition at $499.95 are not cost-efficient for pure per-pack value. They are the right product for collectors who want the display piece and the full sealed experience alongside the pulls, not for maximizing pack count per dollar.
(Pre-Order) Pokemon 30th Celebration Battle Deck Set of 2 (Espeon ex/Umbreon ex)
$69.95 USD
One product worth noting separately: the Battle Deck Set contains no booster packs. It is a 60-card pre-built deck format, and purchasing it gives you zero FUR pull attempts.
It is the right buy for someone who wants to play the 30th Celebration format with friends. It is not a path to Mew ex or Mewtwo ex.
Expected Value: The Honest Framing Before Launch
No secondary market data exists for the English 30th Celebration set. It has not launched. Any specific card value stated before September 16 is speculation, and this article does not offer one.
What comparable Japanese MEGA set FUR results from SNKRDUNK show is a meaningful spread: non-headline FURs from the Japanese expansion opened in the $30 to $80 range in early post-launch trading, while the top-tier headline FURs opened above that, reflecting anniversary premium and collector demand rather than competitive play value.
Mew ex and Mewtwo ex carry the two strongest demand signals in the English market: both are iconic Kanto legendaries in a set specifically celebrating 30 years of the franchise. Demand for first-week copies is real. Where values stabilize after the first two to three weeks of retail availability is the number that actually matters for most decisions, and it is not knowable before launch.
The alternative to pulling them from sealed is the singles market. Early singles will carry launch premiums. Waiting two to four weeks after September 16 has historically been the lower-cost path to specific chase cards in high-volume anniversary sets, where opening volume tends to outpace initial demand faster than the first week suggests.
Browse all 30th Celebration pre-orders currently listed at DexHaul: ETBs, UPCs, Booster Bundles, Figure Collections, and Battle Decks from independent shops, side by side, at dexhaul.com. DexHaul is independent and unofficial, not affiliated with The Pokémon Company or any product publisher.