30th Celebration Week One: What the Market Looks Like Six Days In
By Dexhaul Team · September 22, 2026
Six days after launch, the same Pikachu ex Special Illustration Rare that listed at $437 on September 16 now ranges from $101 to $435 depending on where you look.
That spread is not a glitch. It is the 30th Celebration market in the middle of price discovery, and buyers who understand what is happening right now are in a position to make smarter decisions than buyers who are going on launch-week coverage alone.
Here is what the data shows for FUR cards, SIR cards, and the October 2 products that have not shipped yet.
What the 30th Celebration Set Actually Is
ME: 30th Celebration launched September 16, 2026 as the English-language Mega Evolution set marking 30 years of the Pokémon Trading Card Game. The set is numbered to 128 regular cards, with above-set specialty cards extending well beyond that base total.
Two new rarity designations debuted in this set. Special Illustration Rares (SIR) carry the art-driven premium you find in other Scarlet and Violet sets.
Futuristic Rares (FUR) are new entirely, sitting above SIR and numbered even further above the set total. The full card list for the set is catalogued at Limitless TCG.
Two FUR cards exist in the English set: Mewtwo ex at 157/128 and Mew ex at 158/128.
The FUR Cards Six Days Later
On launch day, Mewtwo ex FUR 157/128 opened at listings above $1,000 from early sellers with first-wave stock. Today the same card appears at $82 on the low end and $822 on the high end across active seller storefronts.
That 10x spread is the story.
Sellers who received stock early and priced into speculative launch-day demand are still holding high asks. Sellers who have received additional stock since September 16 have priced competitively against the market as it has developed. Both sets of listings coexist on the same day.
Mew ex FUR 158/128 shows the same pattern with a narrower spread: the lowest current listing sits at $150 USD from US-based sellers. On launch day the same card saw first-sale prices above $1,400 as early pack openers had the only copies available.
The FUR tier is genuinely scarce relative to SIR. But "scarce" in a new print run and "scarce" six weeks after sell-through are different things. The market is still working out where the clearing price actually sits.
The SIR Situation
The SIR cards show the same wide-spread dynamic in a lower price band.
Pikachu ex SIR 149/128 is the highest-profile single in the set. Pikachu as a character consistently commands the widest demand in any release, and the 30th Celebration SIR is the highest-rarity English Pikachu ex card in the set. On launch day it appeared at $437 from sellers with first-day stock.
Today the same card lists at $101 from at least three separate sellers and at $435 from others.
A 4x spread on the same card from the same release week is unusually wide. It indicates that some sellers have priced in the increased supply coming from a full week of global pack openings, while others have not adjusted their asks yet. Buyers who compare listings across multiple storefronts before purchasing are operating in a window that typically narrows over time as the market converges.
Greninja ex SIR 148/128 launched alongside Pikachu at $396 and shows a similar spread in the current market.
The SIR Mew ex 152/128 deserves a separate note: it is a different card from the FUR Mew ex at 158/128, both featuring Mew but at structurally different rarity tiers. The SIR version currently lists around $216. Collectors building the full above-set ladder for this release are looking at two distinct Mew ex cards, one in each rarity tier.
The Knockout Collection Is Still In Stock
While singles have been repricing across the board, format products tell a cleaner story.
The Knockout Collection at $30 USD is currently the most accessible in-stock 30th Celebration product. It delivers two booster packs plus an exclusive Eevee foil promo card not available in any other 30th Celebration product. That per-pack cost sits comfortably below what singles from those packs are clearing at on the high end of the current market.
The Elite Trainer Box on the secondary market currently ranges from $159 to $190 USD depending on seller. MSRP was $149.99 at retail, and any Wave 1 allocation has long closed, so you are buying from reseller stock. The $159 end of the current range represents a smaller premium over MSRP than most collectors expected given the launch frenzy.
The October 2 Products in Context
Three products release October 2 and are currently available as pre-orders: the Booster Bundle, the Mini Tins, and the Mewtwo Store Promo (a gift-with-purchase at participating retailers rather than a standalone product).
The Booster Bundle ships with six packs. Pre-orders are currently available at $119.99 USD, placing the per-pack cost at $20. That figure now has a real reference point in the form of current single prices: a buyer opening a Booster Bundle at that per-pack cost needs to pull cards at current market prices to break even on pack cost alone.
PRE ORDER Pokemon 30th Celebration Booster Bundle (Expected to Ship 10/2)
$119.99 USD
Mini Tins, also arriving October 2, are pre-ordering at $37 to $43 USD per tin. Each tin contains two packs and one promo card. The Zapdos mini tin is the one most relevant to the broader 30th Celebration collector arc, since Zapdos is the only Kanto legendary bird represented in a standalone branded tin in this product line.
All three FUR and SIR prices above are raw card prices. Graded submissions for the new rarity tier have a zero-grade population as of this writing.
There are no graded comps yet. Any graded price you see attached to a FUR or SIR card right now is speculative asking, not a verified sale.
What the Week-One Data Tells You
Three things are clear from the current listings.
First: the FUR tier settled dramatically from launch-day highs, and the spread between low-ask and high-ask sellers is wider than a settled market normally shows. Comparing multiple storefronts is not optional for singles buyers right now; it is the single most valuable action available.
Second: the SIR tier shows the same spread in a lower price band. Pikachu ex SIR at $101 and $435 on the same day means the market has not converged. When markets are converging rather than settled, both floors and ceilings are temporary.
Third: the October 2 format products, particularly the Booster Bundle, are pre-ordering into a market where the reference singles prices are lower than launch-week coverage implied. Buyers who were on the fence about pre-ordering based on launch-day numbers now have a more complete picture.
Dexhaul is independent and unofficial, not affiliated with The Pokémon Company or any retailer. Search DexHaul for 30th Celebration products across independent shops to compare current in-stock listings, including the Knockout Collection, pre-order Booster Bundle, and singles at the prices shown above. All prices update in real time as the market adjusts.